The Laws of Belief by Wolfgang Spohn
Richard Baron forms some beliefs about Wolfgang Spohn’s book.
We have beliefs, and we change our beliefs as new evidence comes in. The Laws of Belief sets out one way to analyse that process of belief-change. Take, for example, a detective who is trying to work out who committed a murder. The suspects are the butler, the gardener, and the doctor. At first, the detective thinks it was probably the gardener.