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Books

Modality & Explanatory Reasoning by Boris Kment

Richard Baron explains modal reasoning.

Your football team only drew a game yesterday. But things could very easily have been different. If your goalkeeper had been standing two inches to the right at the crucial moment, the opposing team would not have scored the fateful goal and your team would have won. Still annoyed this morning, you dropped a cup and it fell to the floor. Given that you dropped the cup, it was very likely to fall.

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